Projections of Tourist Arrivals in the Eastern Black Sea Region of Turkey

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dc.contributor.authorKHAN, Ashfak Ahmad
dc.contributor.departmentOthertr_TR
dc.contributor.facultyOthertr_TR
dc.date.accessioned2021-10-22T13:37:03Z
dc.date.available2021-10-22T13:37:03Z
dc.date.issued2020-04-30
dc.description.abstractTourism forecasting plays a vital role to develop strong policy for the management of future development in the sector. This study makes tourist arrival projections in the Eastern Black Sea Region of Turkey with application of Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model. Annual data of tourist arrivals from 1996 to 2018 has been used for proposed model. The results have revealed that the proposed model has projected the tourist arrival values that are very close to actual values. Tourist arrivals are projected to be increased in the future years in Eastern Black Sea Region, hence, making the region a popular tourist destination. Therefore, prior measures are important to take in order to develop tourism in sustainable form. The results of the study are useful for development of better tourism policy for the region as future projection is an integral part of sustainable tourism development.tr_TR
dc.description.indexTrdizintr_TR
dc.identifier.endpage98tr_TR
dc.identifier.issn/e-issn1308-9765
dc.identifier.issue1tr_TR
dc.identifier.startpage85tr_TR
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.33688/aucbd.688738tr_TR
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12575/75700
dc.identifier.volume18tr_TR
dc.language.isoentr_TR
dc.publisherAnkara Üniversitesitr_TR
dc.relation.isversionof10.33688/aucbd.688738tr_TR
dc.relation.journalCoğrafi Bilimler Dergisitr_TR
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Başka Kurum Yazarıtr_TR
dc.subjectTourist arrivalstr_TR
dc.subjectTourism forecasttr_TR
dc.subjectARIMA modellingtr_TR
dc.titleProjections of Tourist Arrivals in the Eastern Black Sea Region of Turkeytr_TR
dc.typeArticletr_TR

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Cilt:18 Sayı:01 (2020)