Modeling of Stochastic Process of Implementation of Various Combinations of Dangerous Meteorological Phenomena in the Mountains of the Caucasus

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dc.contributor.authorElizbarashvili, Mariam
dc.contributor.authorElizbarashvili, Elizbar
dc.contributor.departmentFen Fakültesitr_TR
dc.date.accessioned2020-04-01T07:50:10Z
dc.date.available2020-04-01T07:50:10Z
dc.date.issued2019
dc.description.abstract: The mountainous regions of Caucasus are characterized by the exceptional variety of dangerous meteorological phenomena that often cause significant material damage and human losses. These dangerous meteorological phenomena often occur simultaneously and exacerbate the situation. For example, increased wind during heavy rains, fog during snowstorms, hurricanes with hail, etc. To reduce the negative effects of such phenomena, it is necessary to know their probabilistic characteristics in given area. These meteorological phenomena are independent of each other, therefore the physical process of their occurrence has stochastic nature and it can be investigated as a random process based on the well-known probability theorems of multiplication and addition. Using these theorems, the stochastic process of realizing various combinations of dangerous meteorological phenomena in the Caucasus Mountains is modeled. For the Caucasus Mountains, the most likely is the implementation of snowstorm, hurricane wind or hail in combination with dangerous fog. The occurrence probabilities of one of the complex events, probability of the joint implementation of complex of both events and the periods of risk recurrence are identified. Key words: Meteorological Phenomena,tr_TR
dc.identifier.endpage07tr_TR
dc.identifier.issn/e-issn2146-1562
dc.identifier.issue02tr_TR
dc.identifier.startpage01tr_TR
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12575/70831
dc.identifier.volume07tr_TR
dc.language.isoentr_TR
dc.publisherAnkara : Ankara Üniversitesitr_TR
dc.relation.journalAnkara Üniversitesi Çevrebilimleri Dergisitr_TR
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Ulusal - Editör Denetimli Dergi - Başka Kurum Yazarıtr_TR
dc.subjectMeteorological phenomenatr_TR
dc.subjectMountains of the caucasustr_TR
dc.titleModeling of Stochastic Process of Implementation of Various Combinations of Dangerous Meteorological Phenomena in the Mountains of the Caucasustr_TR
dc.typeArticletr_TR

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Cilt:07 Sayı:02 (2019)